The expectation is that AFPC will make it appear that pilots are eligible for VSP, and then panic and deny VSP for the vast majority of pilots who apply. Just like last time. They'll approve VSP for folks within about 6 months of getting out anyway, so they can tell the non-flyers "look, we even cut pilots!". They'll then make everyone- even those they denied VSP- eligible for RIF. You can't quit, you're fired! Can't make this stuff up.

The people the AF wants to leave (non-flyers) don't want to get out. The people the AF wants to stay (pilots) all want out.

I've said this several times, but I can count on one hand how many peers of mine plan on making AD a career (stay in for twenty). I can double that number with those who plan on staying on AD but not signing any bonuses or ADSCs that take them beyond their UPT ADSC, giving them the freedom to leave if they see fit. The vast majority of my peers want out at the first opportunity. Some are happy, some hate life, lots are in between, but all see the service for the sinking ship it is.

But we have a marine who knew some guys in a good-deal small detachment, flying Lears and Challengers and teaching AIS, so there's that.