Originally Posted by
JamesNoBrakes
No, it won't, because there's 135, corporate, military, and all those other guys fighting it out to be the "select few" that get on with "the majors". Because regionals take up so much of the air traffic volume, the system doesn't work like it used to. There's a surplus of pilots for a shortage of major airline jobs. Retirement will help, but it's not going to be some crazy boom, you and everyone else has been predicting that for 30+ years for all sorts of reasons. If it wasn't "age 65" it was "increased travel of retired baby boomers" or whatever the flavor of the moment. I don't like being so cynical, but you are the textbook definition of "dangling the carrot".
The 3 majors will be hiring approximately 600 per year each indefinitely. It will get less competitive as time goes on.