Originally Posted by
Taped2Seat
Not to beleaguer this angle but to answer the question. Most events have a human element, and there are two broad scenarios here - either it was accidental, or it was purposeful. Assuming the latter, then there must've been a reason to make the plane completely disappear w/o a trace. If the purpose was to get attention/make a point, if the plane is never found would go down in history as one large unsolved mystery. But as you pointed out, time and currents would disperse debris, so landing it in water is a moot, unless whoever did it was planning on surviving and being picked up somewhere. Looking at the problem from the mind of whoever did it instead of looking at the (potentially incorrect) data points we are getting. Thanks for the insight though.
All of my speculation is bound by human motives. Consider a motive and then consider the technical feasibility of fulfilling that motive. Assuming it's purposeful, which it's really starting to look like at this point.
I can't see a motive to land on the water, anyone with a enough piloting skill to even try it would know it's probably not going to work out in a big jet.
Random technical failures have no motive and this are harder to predict and analyze, especially with little or no data.