Originally Posted by
kingairip
I don't think that was a serious question.
For those wondering, here are the data for the next five years*:
Legacy AA (Total Pilots = 9,600)
Retirements / Total since 2014 / Percent of list
2014 83 83 1%
2015 112 195 2%
2016 135 330 3%
2017 190 520 5%
2018 300 820 9%
Legacy US (Total Pilots = 5,159)
Retirements / Total since 2014 / Percent of list
2014 171 171 3%
2015 173 344 7%
2016 206 550 11%
2017 234 784 15%
2018 262 1046 20%
(* - Data were pulled off of APC several months ago. kingairip makes no claims on their veracity and will not be held responsible for any career decisions made as a result of this data.)
The longer East stays separate from the west, the better movement will be as well. I was told 80% of the EAST guys will be gone in 8 years.
Also, a quote from the APA, HALF of the combined list will be retiring by the end of 2024 (10 years or so). So in *theory*, a new hire today will be halfway up the list in a decade.
That being said I think retirements are similar at UAL and DAL, aren't they? So it's not like AA/US is anything special, except for the retirements off the east side alone.