Originally Posted by
rickt86
The catch to this system, even if employed at all three majors is it will force everyone into those three regionals. Many will have to stArt all over. Further is screws the folks at charter, small cargo, etc. corporate, Miami air, blah blah blah.
They think the 10,000 pilot pool for the majors is now a pool to prop up the regionals. Further they want to evolve the industry into a cradle to grave model.
I still see a lot of pilots (especially current RJ captains) sticking it out at a lot of regionals with no flow waiting for direct entry to a legacy or LCC vs. starting all over again for a flow-thru promise that could take 5-10 years. Those with only 1-3 years invested might move laterally, but not captains with houses and kids hoping to the bottom of another regional to get in a line with no promises other then a maybe IF they continuously hire for 6,7,8 years or whatever.
In theory, this whole idea of poaching sounds good, but in practice I'm not convinced. Cradle-to-grave is another carrot to dupe dopey pilots into long commitments with questionable payoffs, IMO. For some it might work, but for many others it will be a long frustrating trip. If they have a mainline seniority number and a guarantee, perhaps, but murky promises almost always have been for the benefit of managements. If a pilot with 4 years at Envoy and estimating his or her touchdown at AA to be 2-3 years away and Delta calls offering a class date after they interview, they're gone.
None of this will solve the real problem for them and that's convincing someone to rack up $50K in extra debt to join the regional slum life as a new hire F/O. The well is dry and it will take years to replenish. It will be a full blown crisis within 12-18 months and they f'ed up. It's too late. They're screwed.