Originally Posted by
ERJ Jay
Agree.
The costs to the company would be astronomical.
They will do everything they can to prevent it.
It's far cheaper to keep issuing vacancies and let guys bid off, retire, or rot on reserve.
Except for Seattle and LAX 74, I don't see "huge" displacements happening any time soon.
With retiring 30+ Captains a month, guys will take the upgrade or BES seniority bump by bidding out of dieing bases and fleets.
IMHO
What do you think they have been doing for the past year? Thinning the heard with voluntary vacancies and retirements. Now it's time to get serious. With 34 757s leaving between now and January, you are going to see displacements. C33 LSC hinted at September in the last council meeting, and Howard Attarian said this in his last Letter.....
What are you doing about four-day trips, as well as all the deadheading that seems to be occurring?
We are aware of the increased volume of deadheads and are looking at this very closely. An analysis is under way to determine the cost of four-day pairings in the day of operation. We continue to work with the ALPA SSC on the trip length distribution. In the fall, we will commence the process of moving toward right sizing our bases so we can reduce the amount of flying that is forced into a particular base. This should help with trip distribution.
Displacements off the 757 are coming. I will be back here to tell you "I told you so" before you know it.
Sled