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Old 08-07-2014 | 01:03 PM
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scottm
Mishap Pilot
 
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP
Those "13,000 jets on order for delivery in the next ten years" are largely fleet recapitalization, NOT growth airframes.
In an industry that only employs around 10-12,000 pilots, having 13,000 jets on order means they will need a lot more pilots. Their current 12k pilots have been stagnated there for a long time, they are aging out about the same as the major airlines, so even without any new planes, they would need a heck of a lot of pilots. The combination means we will see more demand for business aviation pilots than for airline pilots in some years. That matches predictions from the National Business Aviation Association and from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

There are many forces like this building quietly without much press, even the major airlines might not have noticed when they decided they could weather a pilot shortage that puts their competitors out.
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