when i look @ it, i think we're seeing much more the tip of a shortage problem than an entire iceberg. Unlike starbucks, the regionals have many other avenues to use to attract more employees than other industries do.

Starbucks can't fill counter spots, what to do...give employees more time off, give employees more free coffee, give employee's friends more free coffee, raise pay.

Regionals can lower minimums, lower mins again, lower mins further, give signing bonuses, offer quick upgrades, improve quality of life (or promise it), get bigger shiner aircraft, or even raise pay.

We've seen plenty of the regional schemes in action already, who's offering signing bonuses, who's lowered their mins, It will probably only take more time for pay to increase.

Do I see the potential for regional pilots to be paid as well as major or even the fractionals, lccs etc? Not really, there will come a time when the compensation will begin to equal out the incoming supply and things would settle down. If pay/QOL are high enough, the regionals will have the staffing, and will only have to wait as long as it takes to get another 250hr commercial pilot online to fill the next void.