Originally Posted by
flapshalfspeed
Good info.
I'll still be very surprised if they drawdown CLT long-term like that. Seems like it would be smarter for them to do something like this:
1) Displace to IAD/DFW/PHX in one huge CLT closure
2) Backfill with a huge TDY for up to 112 days
3) Rebuild CLT trips into IAD trips starting & ending with Airways DHDs (they do this with IAD reserves ALL the time); and also PHX linear-line trips flowing through SAT/DFW to CLT
But sounds like you're pretty certain they aren't gonna close it all at once.
You brought up some very good points with TDY and Rebuilding trips with DH's, and they might very well do any of these, if they catch wind of guys wanting to downgrade when they start seeing how people are bidding...