Originally Posted by
Vee1Cut
I live in XNA, and the bases for Mesa's ERJ work for me. I skimmed thru some stuff on PSA on this forum, but its hard to get to the facts when everyone is out bashing each other. I try to make important decisions based on facts, not conjecture and some online troll's opinion. Thanks for the help guys. So far Im hearing that Mesa will need 1000 pilots over the next 12 months to staff the remaining ERJs to come online. The mock bid went to Seniority #705 for CA upgrade, I think I would be around 850 or so... Inputs gladly welcomed.
Based on the known and rumored airplanes coming (the latter being a big variable), I'd estimate around 600-700 additional pilots being added over the next 12 months to sustain fleet growth. I don't think growth will really plateau until ~three years from now, but the most substantial growth will be the next year. 12-18 months from now, I think some of the fast upgrades will move on to LCC's, majors, and hopefully legacies. That will keep bringing people over to the left seat expeditiously. I think the real limitation here is pilots; if the shortage comes to fruition, and they can't hire more, they won't be able to make everyone a Captain. This is all conjecture, but I have fun toying around with these forecasts. Take it with a grain of salt.
Also, what mock bid are you referring to? I haven't heard of this.