Originally Posted by deltajuliet

Quote:


Based on the known and rumored airplanes coming (the latter being a big variable), I'd estimate around 600-700 additional pilots being added over the next 12 months to sustain fleet growth. I don't think growth will really plateau until ~three years from now, but the most substantial growth will be the next year. 12-18 months from now, I think some of the fast upgrades will move on to LCC's, majors, and hopefully legacies. That will keep bringing people over to the left seat expeditiously. I think the real limitation here is pilots; if the shortage comes to fruition, and they can't hire more, they won't be able to make everyone a Captain. This is all conjecture, but I have fun toying around with these forecasts. Take it with a grain of salt.
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