Originally Posted by
flapshalfspeed
I'm thinking 3-5 years upgrade time for the most junior folks flying the line right now, and 5+ years for anyone just now starting class.
Way off. How do you figure?
Even with a modest 8/mo attrition, upgrade for a new hire assuming every single pilot ahead of him took the upgrade, would be 2.5 years based on attrition alone. Factor in another 50-60 ejet upgrades for growth and you are looking at 2 years or less for a new hire now.
Factor in that 3/4 pilots hired in the last year were from a CFI background and most will not hit 1000 hours 121 SIC until about a year and a half into their career, 2 years can easily be 1.5 years.