Originally Posted by
satpak77
The problem with the above argument is a substantial amount of resumes with solid experience already exist at the majors. What did someone post on here ? 10K apps at AAL ?
The shortage at the lowest levels, will, for now, impact, the lowest levels.
You're making the poor assumption that, extrapolated across the industry, there are 30k eligible candidates. I would argue that most of those 10k also have apps in at Delta and United. Split evenly, that's only 3000 pilots available. If regionals continue having staffing problems, which will only get worse, the majors will have to continue grow while shrinking contract flying. Those 3000 apps will go quick.
Not to mention that many of them are probably senior capts at regionals in the late 40s age group. They will have to retire during the worst of the retirment window