Originally Posted by
madeinUSA
Here it is in English. Right now the most junior captain at the company is around 900 on the seniority list out of 1500 pilots. So if the fleet number stays the same let's figure 900 being the magic number for upgrade. In the next 3 years there will be approximately 500 pilots going to DAL. At the current attrition rate to other carriers, I would put the number close to 650-700 pilots total in the next 36 months. So if you are 1500 right now you will probably be close to 800 in three years.
How reliable are those numbers? Obviously an assault of flying pigs could arrive tomorrow and screw the industry, but assuming things continue mostly as they are? Do the 500 pilots going to DAL have CJOs already, or is that an estimate based on other numbers?
Any thoughts on how the new DAL contract (assuming it passes) would affect things? It seems like they're going to get some E195s to operate, which would seem to mean more mainline hiring, but I also read about increased crew efficiencies canceling that out.