Originally Posted by
SpreadEagle
Flow is expected to remain at 18 pilots a month through 2015 and only increase to 20 pilots a month for all of 2016. The low flow through numbers for 2016 are attributed to the amount of recalls returning. The flow-through is expected to get to June 2001 hires by the end of 2016 and the remainder of the 824 group will end approximately with October/November 2004 hires estimated by August 2017.
Understandable provided there are no unforeseen situations that would slow that. That's 2 years to get through the present 824 group mandated to get X percentages of classes via arbitration. By then though a whole new paradigm could be in place that includes the consolidation of some carriers diluting flow projections for present non-824 Envoy pilots. It simply to far of a stretch to predict with any accuracy when a non-824 pilot will flow, let alone an Envoy new-hire of today.
I understand the desire to make a WAG "projection" look attractive to lure in pilots, but that is the primary point of such a WAG projection.