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Old 08-12-2015, 12:59 PM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by Skyvector View Post
That's because right now, today we are flowing the backlogged pilots who didn't flow in the decade after 9/11.

But that is just "facts" and isn't as cool of a soundbite as "16 year flow!!" Doesn't change the fact that pilots hired today will flow in 6 to 7 years at our minimum flow rate. The only thing that could affect that is if all hiring at AA stops and/or Envoy ceases to exist. Neither one is likely to happen. But keep pushing those cute soundbites you learned online.

The recalled pilots are returning as we speak. In most moths AA has ZERO street hires so that they can run classes made up entirely of Envoy pilots and recalls. In March 2016 the recalls end. That will free up additional class dates for either street hires and/or more Envoy flow throughs.

Another point to consider is this. Currently AA is running very small classes when compared to Delta and United. That won't last for long. Once they get their full cadre of instructors and check airmen up and running their class sizes WILL increase. Current class numbers are the absolute minimum for AA and their training department is playing catch up. Once they do catch up, class sizes will increase as will the amount of Envoy flow throughs.
AA is downsizing the fleet (40+ planes this year alone) and the increased efficiencies in the new contract will put a damper on hiring. Already has on the LUS side.
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