Originally Posted by
Realtalk
Maybe you're not seeing my point.
I have far from a grudge for eagle pilots. I have a tremendous amount of respect for your group.
I mathematically cannot come to grips with the numbers you post, 2.5/6, I've seen the seniority lists. I've counted planes, flows, retirements, it doesn't work.
Those numbers sound good to say, but its not true. If it is, by all means feel free to explain it to me.
.........
Well, you are kinda right about the math not working on the 2.5/6. I ran some numbers recently and IF it works out and thats a big IF it will only work for a small group of pilots. The 2.5 I definitely think is a long shot but I do think we could see 6 year flows from new hires.
At 30 per month with a 1950 pilots thats a 5.5 year flow. When its gets slowed to the last step thats an +8 year flow.{those flow numbers are with EVERYONE staying at envoy and not going to another airline/not flowing} So, IF AA doesn't stop hiring the 6 year number for SOME PILOTS will happen. If you look at their mandatory retirements then I think we all will agree AA will continue to hire over the next 10 years. Now, I haven't looked at the upgrade time, but with the flows for the next to years I think we could easily be looking at three years.