Originally Posted by
Flaps2Go
Based on APC retirement data, 9,531 pilots will reach age 65 through 2022 at AA/UA/DL alone.
That is Endeavor, Skywest, Envoy and Republic's pilot groups combined. Pilots that haven't even been hired by the regionals yet will be at the majors within 7 years.
And that is just to MAINTAIN their current capacity! Any growth in fleet would add to those numbers! AA has a ton of A/C on order, some of which will be growth. DAL has 321's and 350's coming, some of which is growth, and UAL is adding 190's after their TA passed. So yeah, the dog days are over.
I would think twice about leaving here to go to places like Kalitta, Allegient, USA Jet, and any other third tier non-regional. That's where the hurt will be felt! They'll be starved of pilots in no time and I see no way they'll be able to get out of that. They'll likely end up going through a bunch of consolidations and bankruptcies and many of them may still fold. Their only hope is that enough people get DUI's and certificate actions to keep them staffed (I say somewhat in jest).