Only 6 months ago I was reading in this thread about 9E FOs with 8+ years still waiting to upgrade. So, how is it possible that it's down to 2 years in such a short time? Not calling anyone liars or trying to start flame-throwing ... I just would like a clear picture
At my airline, in about a 6 month period in 2015, capt upgrades went from 12.5 years, to less than 5, on the larger aircraft. Also at my airline, we just hired a regional FO who was at their regional 8 years with no upgrade...that is not atypical.
About 4 years ago, a senior mgmt pilot told us upgrade in about 5 years. At the time, it seemed doable. A few years ago, it seemed impossible. I got an upgrade award at 5 years, 2 months.
Just read about Commutair. Their upgrade just went from about 2.5 years to 2 months, in the last couple of months.
Predicting upgrade times is a fool's errand.