Here's the bottom line: anyone hired right when the growth started has made out pretty well. I guarantee there are line holding CAs out there who have never sat reserve as FOs or CAs.

That's certainly not going to be the case for new hires now. You have a lot of reserve ahead of you, but if you live in base that's manageable. But don't believe for a second that you're going to be seeing that right out of training. The Jr Round 1 lineholder (the threshold for SAP) is in CVG and has been on property 8 months.

Yes, the company has done a **** poor job of managing the growth and has (I believe) intentionally manipulated many things in their favor. They are ignoring the market trends and what actually motivates pilots to come to work for an airline, and instead want you to think about the 5-6 year picture. They may have a point, but that point is mitigated by heads of recruiting for other Legacy carriers stating that they will have difficulty filling their own flight decks in 3-5 years time.

The better question to ask is what does regional flying look like down the road, over a 1-3 year window. The short answer is nobody knows. I personally think there will be some advantage at a wholly owned. Is that imagined advantage enough to justify coming to an AAG wholly owned? Who the hell knows. Is it enough to go to Endeavor? Who the hell knows. It's been pointed out that their bonus ends about the time the C series is going to show up at mainline. It's also fair to point out that the have a CRJ900 rate in their CBA.

In the end, what should you do? No one can really answer that question, because no one really knows what's going to happen over time. AAG could pull their head out of their ass and finally realize that they're going to have to legitimately compete for pilots. Endeavor could have street CAs. Or the whole thing could just come crashing down.

No. One. Knows.