Originally Posted by
manilo52
You really think all 500 or our FOs will upgrade within 18 months? That would require upgrade classes of 25-30 a month for the next 18 months. You should be a pilot recruiter if youre not already, youre a natural with these pipe dreams.
I think that we will likely lose at least 100 of our current FO's to other carriers (LCC's, even legacy carriers). That leaves 400. Of those, at least 50 will bypass upgrade, are on leave, or on the list as a ground instructor. That would leave 350, which would be upgrade classes every 2 weeks of 10. We are currently upgrading 8 every 2 weeks, so increasing it to 10 seems pretty doable. If we are hiring 25 every 2 weeks, and lets say 20 of them make it to the line, it would be pretty easy to upgrade 10 every 2 weeks.
There is nothing "pipe dream" about this.
Is there something wrong with that math?