Originally Posted by
CLT Guy
I think that we will likely lose at least 100 of our current FO's to other carriers (LCC's, even legacy carriers). That leaves 400. Of those, at least 50 will bypass upgrade, are on leave, or on the list as a ground instructor. That would leave 350, which would be upgrade classes every 2 weeks of 10. We are currently upgrading 8 every 2 weeks, so increasing it to 10 seems pretty doable. If we are hiring 25 every 2 weeks, and lets say 20 of them make it to the line, it would be pretty easy to upgrade 10 every 2 weeks.
There is nothing "pipe dream" about this.
Is there something wrong with that math?
No, the math is good. Assuming those numbers are what happens is where you're losing me. We just started upgrading 8 every two weeks for what a month or two? I wouldnt feed these potential new guys rainbows and butterflies when thats easily subject to change. Your numbers imo are best case scenario/not happening. But we all have opinions. I just want to reiterate to new guys to take whats read here with a grain a salt.