Originally Posted by Wink

The problem with this math is it assumes the additional attrition outside of the flow is always people senior to you, which will not be true. I would agree with 5 years as a result of us growing and the population growing ultimately allowing more flow pilots per month, but conservatively counting only flow pilots the time to flow is considerably longer than 5 years. Regardless of the mechanism, I agree 5 years sounds like an accurate flow time for a new hire TODAY. Each month you delay that time goes up so if you are considering a lateral move the sooner you do it the better