Originally Posted by
Nevjets
There is no tail risk with the 145s. And it's not Skywest calling the shots in short term deals with these 50 seaters. For example, if UAL wanted a long term deal (>2years) that Inc can make a profit from, of course they would sign that deal. Also, UAL has given long term deals for these same 145s to TSA and Commutair. Keep in mind that Inc has negotiated and renegotiated this money losing CPA three separate times and it's still unprofitable. It's UAL who has Inc over the barrel, and along with them the employees who have done nothing wrong to deserve what's happening.
UAL has said they are planning on having less than 100 fifty seat regional jets by 2019. With 36 of the 145s now at TSA (along with the dozen or so they already have) and 40 in the process of being transferred to Commutair, I don't see how that leaves any 50 seat jets for Skywest or XJT to operate for UAL, especially since UAL has tail risk on those 145s to at least 2020.
Lastly, the line bidding and vacation touching as not as lucrative as being portrayed relative to ASA's PBS. But it is true that pilot costs are higher than Skywest. So it makes sense that they put any and all CRJ and 175 flying at Skywest.
Technically, Commutair is adding 40 ERJ's to the fleet and replacing 20~ dash's with additional 145's. That total ERJ 145 number would be ~60 at Commutair.