Originally Posted by
PSA help
American Airlines Projected Retirements for 2016 - 2028
(Projections based on active pilots turning 65 in the given year.)
Roster Data Updated on: 11/1/2016
Year Total
11/3/2016 - 12/31/2016 - 68
2017 - 407
2018 - 541
2019 - 651
2020 - 782
2021 - 853
2022 - 874
2023 - 958
2024 - 930
2025 - 955
2026 - 901
2027 - 766
2028 - 665
The estimates previously released showed 2017-2019 quite a bit higher, but many of those retired early in 2016. I would expect this to continue, as many are not waiting until 65.
Interesting post. Yet, only 55 pilots flowed from PSA to American in 2016 (pilot group is 1200 ish); a year that Americian hired 600ish. Pay increases and bonuses may get a few more in the door for now, but net Captain gains to trigger additional flow numbers did not materialize for 2016. PSA career expectations underperformed in 2016. LOA 5 salesmen (ALPA) spoke of and projected 7-8 flows per month by the end of 2016. The company had to meet again in May to discuss the flow. That resulted in no increase. The "answers" for 2017 are from the same group(s). So while the American projected retirement information is of interest, it does not make a flat flow agreement look any different.