Originally Posted by
ncflyer704
To promote 5-7 years to flow, well the facts do not support it. 1200-1500 pilots, and 5 flows a month, all the attrition in the world does not make that work. It's a vicious circle that has to be broken. PSA can't maintain the FO ranks because it is used as a "stepping stone". Upgrades are based on the FO ranks filled. At the current rate of 5 per month, the career expectations are much greater than 5-7 years.....
This is a great point! Let's do some math!
For the sake of simplicity (and fairness), I'll shoot right in the middle and assume 1350 pilots at PSA and 6 years for today's new hire to flow. 1350 pilots divided by 72 months equals 18.75 pilots per month either flowing, moving-on to another job, or refusing to flow.
If the flow stays at 5/month, on average,
14 pilots ABOVE YOU, will have to move-on to other jobs, (or refuse to flow)
EVERY MONTH in order for today's new hire to flow on to American.
And given the idea that fewer pilots bail out as they get closer to the flow, the REAL number of pilots above you who would have to move-on for today's new hire to flow in 6 years is
actually closer to 28 at the beginning of their tenure at PSA, slowing to zero as they get closer to their flow date.
Your mileage my vary.