View Single Post
Old 03-13-2017 | 09:38 AM
  #11702  
JesuitValen
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 480
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by AnotherWriter
We lose about 20 a month to DL, plus 10 to others/retirement (that seems to be the trend, for every two we send to the mothership we lose one to something else).

We are probably averaging about 50 new hires a month, with a 15% washout is ~43 new pilots on line per month. So that's a net of about 13 new pilots a month. Which makes sense if you look at ISL 16-01 and 17-01, we are about 150 pilots larger.

We seem to like about 12 pilots per aircraft, but let's just assume 10 to make the math easier and be optimistic. We can take 1.3 airplanes per month, or about 15 per year. We have already made that commitment on the 200, so unless we start swapping out old 200s for 700s/E175s, I don't see how we take a lot of new jets this year beyond what is already planned. You could also make the argument that if we announced 175s with a west coast presence then our recruiting would increase dramatically.
I didn't think about swapping out the older 200s. If you can kill the one class early (now) and grab up as many 7/9 as you can to ensure a future for Endeavor, you'd be stupid not to. Keep some 200s in atl where customers are used to them and lock up the regional jet for the future.

Hell, drop 2 200s for every one 7/9/175 and you'll probably put this place on solid footing for half a decade.
Reply