At the Same Rate of Flow
Going from memory. The 824 group has just/is just finishing flowing.
The first of the Protected Pilots was hired in 2001. That means that person is flowing in 2017-2001= 16 years.
At the contractual minimum rate of flow, the Protected Pilots will finish flowing the end of 2019. This assumes no PP gets hired as OTS at AA or any other major (not a good assumption, but a conservative one).
There is a large gap in hiring for several years after 9/11/2001. Very few have DOH during that period.
The last of the PP flows has a DOH of 2011. That is projected to be in 2019, meaning the last person is projected to flow in 2019-2011= 8 years.
The sales job claim for new hires is 6 years. Could be, but even if it stays at 8 years, that is great compared to those who flowed over the last few years at age 50+.
Of course, all this is subject to no major external force that rocks the industry. It also assumes no major OTS hiring increase. (The first always is a possibility that would increase flow times. The second is very likely, given the retirement ramp ups at the 6 majors, as well as potential growth by them and demand for expats by foreign careers. These would all serve to decrease flow times.)