Originally Posted by
chrisreedrules
They moved on. Not as much CA attrition for June/July. But FO attrition is starting to pick up. I fear much of that is washouts however.
Large washout rates are an indicator of things to come. Tells me the quantity/quality of experienced pilots is starting to dwindle, and those that remain will more than likely be looking for work where their experience is better compensated. With Republic expecting to hire 500-600 this year and the growth expected as a result of their additional airplanes, along with Endeavor and other regional's demand for pilots, our washout rate probably won't improve much.
Full classes may be good optics for recruiting, but if a large portion of those washout, at what point will it start to negatively affect staffing levels?
My understanding is we are scaling back class size to hopefully lessen the high rate of failure.
For those that think it will be 5 years by the time the regionals start seeing the negative effects of shrinking pilot group, it's already here and the landscape will drastically change in the next 2-3 years.