Originally Posted by
Pedro4President
Well I get what you are saying but the facts are 824 flowed 30 and PP flowed 29. I didn't see the 29 happening at all. I don't see the next group getting a bump IF their numbers are flowing sub 6 years. The group after that has a chance to flow more but I don't see us getting anything without the other two getting something. PSAs flow is crap so why isn't their fixed?
Quick calculation. Next group after the Protected Pilots are contractually set at 15 pilots per month.
2500 pilots / (15 flow per month x 11 months per year) = 15 years for flow, assuming no attrition.
In a few years hiring from the regionals will be 4,000 per year (conservative number). That is 20,000 pilots all regionals combined / 4,000 pilots per year hired by the majors = 5 years average at regionals to get hired by the majors.
How effective a recruiting tool is 15 years for flow (assuming no attrition) when the average for all regionals is 5 years?
Something will have to change for flow to be even slightly meaningful.