Originally Posted by bigtime209

You must be new. You're missing the point. First point, there are only roughly 200 something lifers left on the seniority list. You're assuming that the only alternative to the current course is shutting down Envoy and stapling all of the pilots to the AA seniority list. The point is, there's no way of knowing what will happen in the coming years. There's no way of knowing if the pipe dream of a staple to the AA list (a pipe dream that has been out there for many, many years) will happen, whether or not Envoy and Piedmont will merge, whether or not all 3 wholly owned regionals will merge, whether or not there will be a major consolidation of all regionals will occur, leaving just a handful of regionals left across the entire market, whether or not there will be a consolation of the regionals into just one remaining regional, whether the regionals dry up altogether with just the majors left standing, who the hell knows??? The point is, you can't reasonably make a projection for flow, much less the the entire industry, 6-9 years from now by taking into account the current market trend. As I said before, anyone who's been in the game for longer than a year or two knows that the industry usually changes drastically within a 5 year span. Go back 30 years from now. Look at every 5 year segment. Have those 5 years throughout that time been anything alike? Anyone hired in the last year or so that thinks they're just gonna ride out the wave and flow down the line a few years from now is in for a rude awakening.