Originally Posted by
Redbird611
Wide-body Fleet in 2010:
747-400: 16
777-200ER/LR: 18
A330-200/300: 32
767-400: 21
767-300ER: 58
767-300: 14
Total: 159 (including domestic 763)
Wide-body fleet today:
A350-900: 11
777-200ER/LR: 18
A330-200/300: 42
767-400: 21
767-300ER: 56
767-300: 2
Total: 150
Projected Wide-body fleet:
A350-900: 15
777-200ER/LR: 18
A330-900neo: 35
A330-200/300: 42
767-400: 21
767-300ER: <56 (retiring)
Total: Depends; 131 + remaining 767-300ERs (likely most in the near term)
After that, the 8 777-200ER will be 26 years old in 2025 when the deferred A350-900 orders would theoretically be due. Those orders could be converted to additional A330neo, possibly for earlier delivery. In any case, the trend of retiring 767-300s and 767-300ERs while taking delivery of 242t A330s and future A330-900neos looks positive to me. 15 A350-900 for 16 747-400 is pretty close. A350 #12 and #13 are in final assembly.
Excellent analysis, thanks for posting
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