Originally Posted by
havick206
There’s a sweet spot for 2016 hires that has close to 4.5 year flow without external attrition on the ALPA interactive seniority list.
Exponentially gets worse after that as ENY hired basically 1000 pilots in a year after that group.
So yes, a small group will probably realistically see a 4.5 year flow. But that is definitely cherry picking.
Agreed some of those '16 hires timed it well, but this new projection shows a 4.5 year flow from August on to the end of 2020 so a Jan of 15 hire would be at 4.5 years. That would make the 16s even lower.