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Old 03-30-2019 | 08:49 AM
  #89  
BobZ
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Joined: Jun 2015
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background from fleet LLCA and Tech pilot, no remaining 321CEOs will come ETOPS.

First 20 321NEO airframes will come ETOPS, delivery schedule begins March 2020. Drawing a parallel to the 739 ETOPS delivery to deployment its reasonable the 321NEO ETOPS flying will start in a similar short time frame.

20 ETOPS airframes should be adequate to cover the presently anticipated HI flying. fleet deliveries from 3/20 on will be 321NEOs to what will be the largest NB fleet at the airline.

Doubtful the carrot of HI was primary sway for anyone who bid the category on an AE. The opportunity of joining a growing fleet, and the multipliers offered in any new category opening were likely equally attractive considerations. The MD awardees likely arrived as a default resulting from other priorities, considerations, and opportunities.

one sales pitch unknown is how large the LAX320 category will eventually become. characterized as 'substantially' larger than the initial staffing level. Given HI has limited traffic to occupy what will end up being a fleet predominated by 321NEOs economically suited to longer stage length service, it is possible the category will grow substantially to staff longer mid continent, transcon, and central America service.

Then again.....they may just fly the time out of ATL.
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