Originally Posted by
ZeroTT
Truth somewhere in between. Outside attrition is what really drives time to flow
There is no “in between”. 9 is 50% greater than 6. Flow alone is roughly 53% higher at Piedmont. It’s fourth-grade math.
Regarding outside attrition, both carriers will likely experience roughly the same percentage of outside attrition, so that factor cancels out.
A ten year flow at PDT isn’t realistic, because it doesn’t account for outside attrition. Likewise, a 16-year flow at PSA isn’t realistic, for the same reason.
If half of PSA’s pilots leave outside the flow, that leaves 950/120 per year = 7.92 years for number 1,900 to flow.
If half of PDT’s pilots flow, that leaves 372/72 per year = 5.17 years for number 744 to flow.
That’s nearly three years’ difference. That’s what a 53% higher flow rate (considering pilot group size) does for PDT.
A new hire who chooses PDT over PSA, and who flows, is likely to spend nearly three more years at AA...three more years at $250k-$300k/year. This assumes no change in flow rates from present.
PDT’s flow is presently superior to PSA’s, and has been for a few years. Again, there are a lot of other factors to consider, but an extra $15k-$20k/year during one’s time at the regionals is nothing compared to an extra $250k/year at AA.