Originally Posted by
highfarfast
Yeah, ALPA website projection is more like 9 years.
There are a lot of pie in the sky guys (dera) that think “oh, it will be much less than 9 years because everyone will be hiring like crazy”. However, almost all of ENVOY’s non-flow attrition are guys that are VERY junior so that attrition only effects you while you are junior to THEM.
Without major changes, you will not flow in less than 8 years. I’m not even getting into the loose language regarding non-protected flow.
But HEY, come here! I really want someone junior to me to sit reserve so I don’t have to.
Folks. It isn’t that hard.
ALPA projects worst case scenario for flow. Company projects best case scenario for flow. Take the average. That’s probably what you are looking at.
The ALPA projection is just as inaccurate as the company’s projection.
This mindset can be extrapolated to everyone the company and ALPA tells you. ALPAs purpose is to make you think company is out to get you and that you really need ALPA to protect you by paying our ridiculous annual dues.
What ever the company tells you and what ALPA tells you are the polar extremes. The truth always is somewhere in the middle.