Originally Posted by
THKooj
The large majority of what you posted here is blatantly false. It's your own opinion only and you are sharing it as if it is indeed fact. Flow is NOT going to be 9 or 10 years. That's way off base. Read more like 6. And I would seriously expect that to drop in the coming year as retirements ramp up. American needs pilots and Envoy has a steady supply. All things point toward it making complete sense that the flow increases dropping the time below 5 years.
He makes 11 points about Envoy and you pick flow to try to discredit him. When we talk about flow there are no facts. None zip zilch. It’s all best guess. Doesn’t mean he is right or wrong but in all honesty it’s just opinions we are talking about. Everything else he said was pretty factual. There were a few things that may be debatable but definitely everything thing he said apart from flow is either fact or the most likely scenario to play out for a new hire.
If we’re talking about flow though I don’t think the OP can get away with saying the flow is likely going to be 7 years and post how many pilots will get hired in 2020. Flow will drop to sub 6 years by July/August and stay there. IMO! I don’t see it coming back up above 6 years with that amount of hiring. But Envoy pilots can be lazy and not get their apps out.