Originally Posted by
4fans
yes I agree there is zero way to predict what will happen with such a large displacement. It’s weird that we are making the same point but one of us is dismissive of the point. I think an additional large factor in June is what categories the company will choose to add vacancies to offset the 88 displacements. It is kind of helpful to know that 2-3 years of retirements will soften the blow, but 2-3 years is the whole seat lock.
I'm not dismissive of the point at all, I'm junior 717a so I could easily be displaced but other than having some displacement preferences there's not much I can do about it. As SF said above, we're not giving up block hours they're just going to other planes -- hopefully the block hours stay in ATL but again that's something I cannot predict or control. I feel like you're just succumbing to paralysis by analysis. Bid what you want and don't worry about the 88s. I suspect 717a will absorb more than its share (I think 60ish 88As from the last time we had a surplus bid landed here) but aside from that I doubt their numbers will have any major effect on a category.