Originally Posted by
love2av8
Well going off the current numbers, assuming every active case has been cured and there are no more deaths you are looking at 213 dead and 9,262 infected. That is 1:43. Obviously most, if not all, are still hospitalized or being treated, so that mortality rate is probably on the conservative side. Typical flu mortality rate is 1:1,000. Current flu deaths are 8,200 for 15 million infected. So yeah it’s a little more deadly.
Typical flu mortality rate? If you’re going to compare the flu to Wuhan then you need to look at current flu data for the same period of time. The flu stats change constantly and vary from season to season and year to year. The cdc has the mortality rate for the US as 7% in January. Of course that’s the us, not China. So you’d have to have numbers from China for both the flu and Wuhan to even be the same ballpark. Further, you’d probably have to have compare numbers for specific regions of China. In short, we are pilots not statisticians. It’s dangerous when unqualified people make definitive statements.