Interesting times. I've second-hand heard of at least one brand new guy with only a couple hundred hours 121 getting an LCC interview in the last week. I've also personally talked to several FOs with more than 500 hours that aren't planning to upgrade and are putting together apps for LCCs or ACMIs. I'd have expected an announcement that TSH management had upped the bonus for DECs and/or were allowing CA upgrades to keep their new hire bonuses - which they've done on a case by case basis in the past. Several of those high time FOs implied and one outright said it'd be a harder choice if they were able to keep their bonuses after they upgrade. Of course this all stuff with canx classes seems to have come to a head very quickly, so that may still be coming. Hopefully they do that - I'm reasonably happy here and would like to stay put until I get an offer to go to the career destination.

But so far silence, other than a quick memo addressing what's already happened. One could say that it appears that TSH is shifting human capital to GoJet. But I'm of the persuasion that they're just trying to stop the bleeding - if this is all related to CA's getting sponged off faster than they can be made, that's a problem that should be coming to GoJet in short order, too, and pretty much any US regional that doesn't have a robust and desirable career path program with AA, UA, or DAL. I can't imagine the mighty 145 type is much more sought after than CL-65 or that there's any sort of fundamental difference between GoJet and TSA pilots that's exacerbated all this *only* for TSA. And while canx new hire classes solves an immediate problem with overstaffing of FOs and seeing them leave for ACMIs and LCCs since they aren't flying, it creates an existential threat to the airline down the road with "oh crap, no one has 1000hrs 121 for upgrade".

Maybe rickair7777 will bless us with his prognostications, but I'm getting the feeling this time is different just because we've never seen labor supply and demand so far out of whack in this direction.