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Old 02-05-2020 | 04:26 PM
  #25  
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rickair7777
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
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Originally Posted by BrazilBusDriver
Maybe rickair7777 will bless us with his prognostications, but I'm getting the feeling this time is different just because we've never seen labor supply and demand so far out of whack in this direction.
Doesn't take much prognostication to read the retirement graphs, it's only getting better (for us, not management) over the next few years.

We've seen LCC's hire experienced regional FO's prior to upgrade (1000-2000 hours 121) for a few years now.

Now it looks like they're starting to use the regionals as 121 training filters... pass training, consolidate and you're eligible for consideration. Safer training bet than a CFI.

Next step will be LCC's hiring CFI's. That's going to create a a big dilemma for noobs... take an LCC job now, or go enjoy less pay and QOL at a regional in hopes of quick upgrade and a Legacy job?

Worth mentioning the military is tapped out as far as surging airline candidates... only output there will be the steady state of folks at the 10, 20, 24 and 30 year gates. Everybody mil and ex-mil who was waiting in the wings with the option to do airlines is already doing it, or just not interested.
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