Originally Posted by
Excargodog
I think that TSA is just sort of the canary in the coal mine. Maybe managed just a little more poorly than some of the others, but EVERYONE at the regional level is starting to bleed CAs and even senior FOs to the majors, and many of the ones that go first are the training cadre. This is something that is going to have to be ACTIVELY managed by someone with a little foresight and knowledge of queuing theory, otherwise you are going to wind up with CA/FO mismatches even if your total numbers hold up. And this is an issue that is not even amenable to just throwing money at it, not if seniority is going to be honored.
And this is going to become more - not less - of a problem for the next five years or so. Those regionals who don’t manage it well are going under.
I largely agree with you. Especially the canary in the mine. However strong regionals are miles ahead of TSA and holdings. Previous poor business dealings are catch-up with Hulas carriers. When you look at largely successful regionals (Skywest, envoy, and republic these days) and then you compare that to holdings, you see night and day differences. True that there is a difference between private and public companies, but the way that good companies manage and handle resources (and Human Resources) is where I see the trouble. Specifically TSA does not value its pilot group. That showed when I was there and it shows now. For example- look to the contract negotiations. In this market? It’s a joke. But I no longer have a dog in that fight. I wish every crew member under TSA leadership and holdings the best.