Hi Big John,

Welcome to the forums, or as I like to call them: The Good Place. I'd be interested to know how projected retirements plus some early retirements would affect your back of the napkin calculations. Also, if we were to park a good chunk of the 756 fleet permanently and displace perhaps 20% of the crews into say the Max as it returns I'd think that the resulting retraining costs would be a wash vs training costs from a furlough. I saw a posting on a separate website that N510UA (757-200) is going to Tupelo today to be retired, I don't know if this was decided recently or not. Anyways, what you suggest is pretty dire but I personally don't think we are close to it yet. Ask me again after the summer or change my mind with more details.