Originally Posted by
WhiskeyDelta
Nothing that comes out this week should be a surprise. The virus has been front and center in this country for weeks now. My guess is the market fall won’t be as bad as you think.
2 million+ new claims? We haven't seen anything yet.
Ultimately, a stock price is the market's best projection of a company's future profitability, usually with an eye towards the next couple quarters. That's really all it is. In times of extreme volatility, investor emotion also plays a huge role, of course.
But look at it this way: the major US indices are about back where they were right before Trump's inauguration in Jan 2017. Now ask yourself: will corporate revenues and profits for Q2 and Q3 2020 be better than they were for 2017, or worse?
Answer there is pretty obvious.