Originally Posted by
Barley
So the perfectly healthy young people and seemingly less vulnerable that die from it.. f them, right? We’re looking at 200,000 deaths in the USA with present stay-at-home measures. Open everything back up and watch that number grow exponentially. Do you honestly think any other country will let our planes land with a virus blowing up unabated in our borders? The economy ain’t coming back if you open everything back up, gents. And neither are our jobs. This will only stop being a major disruptor when a vaccine is developed.
At today's White House briefing the 2 Doctors discussed the models they've run on the virus. With max precautions that most follow we'll still lose 100,000 to 200,000 (currently at around 2500 and over 1000 of those just in NY). Dropping the precautions or widespread ignoring of them will raise the death toll to 1.6M - 2M. They mentioned the peak is still about 2 weeks away. Not sure if they were talking about places where the virus is already running rampant or the entire country.
I'm not sure the $2.2T stimulus is even going to make a dent in the economic damage being done. But opening everything back up is going to be very costly in lives lost.
I'll put a link to the briefing below. It should start at 1:46 with Dr. Birx. Then the President mentions the lower end of expected deaths. Dr. Birx does mention they used multiple independent models.
https://youtu.be/PlyZMGIntGY?t=6251