Originally Posted by
AK22
We have around 3050 on the list, a 15% reduction would be 458 furloughed. Assuming everything is linear. Reducing avg. guarantee 75 to 65 (in accordance with sec 23) is a 13.3% reduction. So the 385 number you mentioned doesn’t really look like much mitigation. Previous manpower assumptions seem to have everyone maxed out all the time, above guarantee, premium, flex-up months, FAR limits. So to me it looks like there’s a lot of slop to go from that down to 65 hours. Just a question of “Do the right thing” and come a mutual agreement.
I said it’s NOT linear. 2909 is the number of active pilots. That is minus Management and Medicals. Subtracting 10-15% was just a simple way to show numbers that are complex. Without LOA’s, retirement, furlough mitigation the numbers would probably be around 700. This really is like 9-11 and 2008 combined, it’s really tough guys. 185- 210 narrow bodies flying Q4. That’s 2200-2500 pilots needed under normal scheduling rules. If we get through this mid 2-300’s, we navigated this really really well. I couldn’t agree more, no more pay cuts, but there is a cost to that, a very human cost. This thing will turn around and we will get everyone back, it’s just going to take time.