1. How do you account for mil pilots? They all have ATP's if they're in the airlines but they don't factor into the success rates for civilians.

2. Many private and corporate pilots get ATP's for insurance, many of those never pursued the airlines.

3. Some foriegn pilots earn ATP's here and then go home.

That said, 30% success rate to legacies for civilian career-oriented training starts seems accurate based on people I know. Historically. I thought it would be better for a while but COVID put the damper on that.