Originally Posted by
Av8tr1
In all three cases I didn't think the numbers would move the needle all that much. Maybe we see a 10% increase? How may active military pilots are there? I did some googlefu and came up with this.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...itary_aircraft Removing UAS from the equation I get a total of 12,268 aircraft. (Scary what you can find on the Internet). Assuming 3 pilots per aircraft I get around 30K? Given your background you probably have access to better data than I so I would be interested to hear if the number is that far off.
Few active duty military have an ATP. They get a commercial for free when they get their wings (if they file the paperwork) but they normally don't bother with an ATP until separation/retirement looms AND they're looking at civilian flying.
I was considering that there are a lot of ex-mil airline pilots with ATPs who were never competing in the civilian ranks. So that would make the odds better for civilians.