Originally Posted by
ChazzMMichaels
It is hard to keep up. I was pretty sure I heard they expect demand to be at 80% of 2019 levels in 2022. We had ~14,300 on the seniority list last summer, so 80% of that would be around 11,500. At that point ~1800 pilots will have retired (mando and typical early #'s), so if there are any furloughs, to be ready for 2023 they'd have to start bringing them all back pretty quickly at that point. And I think 80% in 2022 is conservative.
edit: They'd not only have to bring back all furloughs but start hiring in 2022 to account for the ~750 additional retirements before they get to summer 2023 if they expect additional growth.
BS stated that the projection for summer 2022 is 11500-12000 active pilots. If you account for retirements and pilots on an inactive status, we would need every pilot currently on the seniority list. There is no way this AE is for summer 2022 staffing. Either someone made a huge communication error or they did it on purpose to instill fear and doubt.