Originally Posted by
iahflyr
If the recovery is slower, and the company decides to reduce some flying on the lower seniority categories (717 and 220), they can furlough beyond the UNA right away. Then it will be standard training cycles to displace 717 and 220 captains, and the associated waterfall of training.
I would say there is at least 50% chance that Delta eventually furloughs beyond the initial displacement bid UNA amount of ~2,500 pilots. This is just the initial displacement bid. It’s very possible it could be worse. I wouldn’t criticize Speed Select for having that opinion. Your post may not age well.
And I would say we could be out of business by next year. How's that for unsubstantiated doom-and-gloom?
I mean, it's possible right?
We are dealing with information/numbers in black and white from the company here -- or trying to. Of course things could change for the worse, but what makes you put a 50% probability on it?